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Lin
AAOI
Bullish
Applied Optoelectronics $AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics $AAOI is one of the more interesting picks-and-shovels names in the AI infrastructure trade.
Every new AI data center needs more GPUs, more power, more cooling, and much faster connections between servers. The larger the clusters get, the more important optical networking becomes. As AI models get bigger and training clusters scale, the amount of data moving through the network explodes. That makes optical networking less of a boring hardware category and more of a core AI infrastructure layer.
Applied Optoelectronics makes optical transceivers, laser components, and networking products used in AI data centers, cable networks, telecom, and fiber access. AI workloads are forcing hyperscalers to upgrade their networks faster, and AAOI is becoming one of the suppliers tied directly to that upgrade cycle. The key product cycle is 800G, with 1.6T coming after that. These are high-speed optical transceivers that help move massive amounts of data inside and between data centers.
The numbers are starting to show that shift. In Q1 2026, AAOI reported record revenue of about $151 million, up from about $100 million in the prior year period. Data center revenue was about $81 million, making it the largest segment in the quarter.
The most important part of the earnings story was the ramp. Management said it completed the first volume shipment of 800G products to a large hyperscale customer in Q1 and expects a stronger volume ramp starting in Q2. They also guided for Q2 revenue of $180 million to $198 million, which implies another step up from Q1. Even more important, management expects sequential growth through the year, with bigger growth starting in Q3 as more capacity comes online.
This is not a small company selling into weak end markets. It is selling into the biggest AI infrastructure buyers in the world. The company has received new 800G orders from major hyperscale customers, including a $71 million order announced in April 2026. These customers demand quality, volume, reliability, and price. So, this is a meaningful validation point.
It is not the safest way to play AI, but it may be one of the most direct ways to play the optical networking bottleneck. So far, the stock has also been holding up incredibly well and now looks like it is setting up for a potential breakout for its next leg higher.


Company
Applied Optoelectronics
Sector
Networking
Grade
B+
Setup
Breakout
Volatility
Moderate-High
Timeframe
Mid-Term
Read More

Lin
AAOI
Bullish
Applied Optoelectronics $AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics $AAOI is one of the more interesting picks-and-shovels names in the AI infrastructure trade.
Every new AI data center needs more GPUs, more power, more cooling, and much faster connections between servers. The larger the clusters get, the more important optical networking becomes. As AI models get bigger and training clusters scale, the amount of data moving through the network explodes. That makes optical networking less of a boring hardware category and more of a core AI infrastructure layer.
Applied Optoelectronics makes optical transceivers, laser components, and networking products used in AI data centers, cable networks, telecom, and fiber access. AI workloads are forcing hyperscalers to upgrade their networks faster, and AAOI is becoming one of the suppliers tied directly to that upgrade cycle. The key product cycle is 800G, with 1.6T coming after that. These are high-speed optical transceivers that help move massive amounts of data inside and between data centers.
The numbers are starting to show that shift. In Q1 2026, AAOI reported record revenue of about $151 million, up from about $100 million in the prior year period. Data center revenue was about $81 million, making it the largest segment in the quarter.
The most important part of the earnings story was the ramp. Management said it completed the first volume shipment of 800G products to a large hyperscale customer in Q1 and expects a stronger volume ramp starting in Q2. They also guided for Q2 revenue of $180 million to $198 million, which implies another step up from Q1. Even more important, management expects sequential growth through the year, with bigger growth starting in Q3 as more capacity comes online.
This is not a small company selling into weak end markets. It is selling into the biggest AI infrastructure buyers in the world. The company has received new 800G orders from major hyperscale customers, including a $71 million order announced in April 2026. These customers demand quality, volume, reliability, and price. So, this is a meaningful validation point.
It is not the safest way to play AI, but it may be one of the most direct ways to play the optical networking bottleneck. So far, the stock has also been holding up incredibly well and now looks like it is setting up for a potential breakout for its next leg higher.


Company
Applied Optoelectronics
Sector
Networking
Grade
B+
Setup
Breakout
Volatility
Moderate-High
Timeframe
Mid-Term
Read More

Lin
HOOD
Buy
Robinhood $HOOD
Robinhood is one of my key long-term holdings.
It’s the closest thing to a financial super app, with a huge market, an expanding moat, a visionary founder, a growing ecosystem, and a relentless speed of innovation.
But one of the key things I try to convey here is that timing is critical. Even great companies can get way ahead of themselves simply because of sentiment. Sometimes, fundamentals need time to catch up.
Robinhood has been in a correction since October last year. From peak to trough, it was down over 50%. That is a good lesson that even great companies routinely correct, and exactly why risk management is so critical, even for long-term positions. That means reducing your position when the technicals deteriorate and increasing it when they improve.
Right now, it’s finally starting to reemerge from an early-stage base, and the catalyst are the new Trump Accounts.

On launch day, the app hit #1 in finance and #4 overall in the App Store. The fastest-growing app outside of AI.
Trump Accounts are investment accounts for children, with eligible newborns from 2025 to 2028 receiving a $1,000 government contribution. The app was built with Robinhood and BNY, and funding starts on July 4, 2026. That gives Robinhood a direct role in a large government-backed savings program.
It is becoming financial infrastructure for the next generation.

Company
Robinhood
Sector
FinTech
Grade
B+
Setup
Breakout
Volatility
Moderate
Timeframe
Long-term
Read More

Lin
HOOD
Buy
Robinhood $HOOD
Robinhood is one of my key long-term holdings.
It’s the closest thing to a financial super app, with a huge market, an expanding moat, a visionary founder, a growing ecosystem, and a relentless speed of innovation.
But one of the key things I try to convey here is that timing is critical. Even great companies can get way ahead of themselves simply because of sentiment. Sometimes, fundamentals need time to catch up.
Robinhood has been in a correction since October last year. From peak to trough, it was down over 50%. That is a good lesson that even great companies routinely correct, and exactly why risk management is so critical, even for long-term positions. That means reducing your position when the technicals deteriorate and increasing it when they improve.
Right now, it’s finally starting to reemerge from an early-stage base, and the catalyst are the new Trump Accounts.

On launch day, the app hit #1 in finance and #4 overall in the App Store. The fastest-growing app outside of AI.
Trump Accounts are investment accounts for children, with eligible newborns from 2025 to 2028 receiving a $1,000 government contribution. The app was built with Robinhood and BNY, and funding starts on July 4, 2026. That gives Robinhood a direct role in a large government-backed savings program.
It is becoming financial infrastructure for the next generation.

Company
Robinhood
Sector
FinTech
Grade
B+
Setup
Breakout
Volatility
Moderate
Timeframe
Long-term
Read More
Market Updates
View All

Lin
Market Update: A Change of Character
It looks like we’re finally seeing the first real pullback with serious selling pressure in months.
Everything is being sold indiscriminately. It doesn’t matter what asset class. Gold, Silver, Crypto, Stocks. All are down today.
Today’s trigger seems to be the stronger than expected US jobs report. The US economy added far more jobs than expected, which made traders price in less chance of rate cuts and even some chance of another Fed hike. That pushed Treasury yields higher and the dollar up.
It’s a strange timeline we’re in right now where good job reports are seen as bad.
But at this point the market is using anything it can as an excuse to cool off. The recent rally has been relentless and a correction was to be expected. Unfortunately, it always comes faster and more violent than most people expect.
Now, we’re seeing a market wide de-risking. In broad de-risking, people do not only sell weak assets. They also sell what they can sell. Gold, Bitcoin, stocks, and high-momentum names.
The market is going through a change of character. One of the first warning signs was that strong earnings were no longer being rewarded. Stocks like Nvidia, Broadcom, Ciena, PlanetLabs, and CrowdStrike all had good numbers, but not good enough for a market with very high expectations.
A company can beat earnings and still sell off if the beat was not big enough. It can raise guidance and still fall if investors wanted an even bigger raise. It can show strong demand and still get sold if the stock already ran too far into the print.
If the news is good and the stock cannot go up, that tells you a lot. It means investors are using strength to reduce exposure. Good news is being treated as a chance to sell, not a reason to buy more.
Because in the short term, the market is mostly driven by 2 things:
Sentiment and earnings.
Earnings matter, of course. Fundamentals matter. Cash flow matters. Growth matters. But over shorter periods, the business usually does not change that much from one week to the next.
What changes fast is what investors are willing to pay for those fundamentals.
That is the multiple.
A company can earn the same amount of money, grow at the same rate, and have the same long-term story, but the stock can still move a lot if investors decide they want to pay 30x earnings instead of 40x earnings. That is why stocks can fall even when the business is doing fine.
And the multiple is usually driven by sentiment.
When sentiment is strong, investors become more willing to pay up. They look further into the future. They give companies credit for growth that has not fully happened yet. They forgive small mistakes.
That is how multiples expand.
But when sentiment turns, the whole process works in reverse.
This is especially true for growth stocks, AI stocks, crypto, and other long-duration assets. These assets are priced heavily on future growth. So when sentiment weakens or rates rise, investors stop paying so much for that future.
The business can still be great. But the stock can still go down. That is the painful part of multiple compression. It does not need bad news. It only needs less excitement.
This is how it plays into the current market.
Markets never move in one direction forever. We haven’t seen a real correction in quite some time, and after such a long advance, a pause or pullback is both normal and healthy. Even if it doesn’t turn into a major correction, volatility is likely to stay elevated for a while.
There are no certainties in the markets. So, being dogmatic, whether bullish or bearish, is an expensive mistake.
The world is moving faster than ever and so are the markets.
So, it’s crucial to adjust to the market conditions. This means reading what’s actually happening, not what you want to happen.
This doesn’t mean going from 100% invested to 0% or even starting to short.
Instead, it’s about finding the right balance. Adjust your portfolio between aggressiveness and defensiveness, like a dimmer switch.
If you’re always fully aggressive, you’ll get crushed when the next sell off happens. If you’re always defensive, you’ll miss the big moves. Both extremes cost you money. The sweet spot is somewhere in the middle, and it keeps shifting.
One point I cannot stress enough is to be in sync with the market environment.
And right now, the environment has shifted toward caution.
The most effective way to navigate markets like these is to step back, take a few chips off the table, lock in some profits, trim lagging positions, and reduce risk exposure. So, that’s what I’ll be doing.
This isn’t about perfectly timing the market. That’s impossible anyway. It’s about managing risk.
De-risking the portfolio helps limit drawdowns, smooth out volatility, and be able to take advantage of new opportunities. Because momentum or high growth names can easily drop 20%, 30%, or even 40% when the market corrects by just 5% to 8%. This is especially when we haven’t had a serious correction in a while.
Of course this also depends on your personal investment strategy.
If you’re a long-term investor in quality stocks, there’s really not much to do. Pullbacks are part of the process. As long as your thesis has not changed and fundamentals are improving, pullbacks are a good time to slowly add to your winners.
If you are more active and focused on high growth names opportunities, this is a time to be selective. Think about reducing exposure to your riskiest and most vulnerable positions. Trim names that have run too far too fast. Raise some cash so you have flexibility later. You do not want to be forced to sell into weakness if the market continues lower.
The key is trying to keep your losses contained and avoid holding onto it waiting for it to get back to even.
If the setup stops working, cut the loss and move on. One of the biggest mistakes is turning a trade into a long-term investment just because the stock went down. If you bought because of momentum, a breakout, or a catalyst, then you should exit when that reason disappears.
Read More

Lin
Market Update: A Change of Character
It looks like we’re finally seeing the first real pullback with serious selling pressure in months.
Everything is being sold indiscriminately. It doesn’t matter what asset class. Gold, Silver, Crypto, Stocks. All are down today.
Today’s trigger seems to be the stronger than expected US jobs report. The US economy added far more jobs than expected, which made traders price in less chance of rate cuts and even some chance of another Fed hike. That pushed Treasury yields higher and the dollar up.
It’s a strange timeline we’re in right now where good job reports are seen as bad.
But at this point the market is using anything it can as an excuse to cool off. The recent rally has been relentless and a correction was to be expected. Unfortunately, it always comes faster and more violent than most people expect.
Now, we’re seeing a market wide de-risking. In broad de-risking, people do not only sell weak assets. They also sell what they can sell. Gold, Bitcoin, stocks, and high-momentum names.
The market is going through a change of character. One of the first warning signs was that strong earnings were no longer being rewarded. Stocks like Nvidia, Broadcom, Ciena, PlanetLabs, and CrowdStrike all had good numbers, but not good enough for a market with very high expectations.
A company can beat earnings and still sell off if the beat was not big enough. It can raise guidance and still fall if investors wanted an even bigger raise. It can show strong demand and still get sold if the stock already ran too far into the print.
If the news is good and the stock cannot go up, that tells you a lot. It means investors are using strength to reduce exposure. Good news is being treated as a chance to sell, not a reason to buy more.
Because in the short term, the market is mostly driven by 2 things:
Sentiment and earnings.
Earnings matter, of course. Fundamentals matter. Cash flow matters. Growth matters. But over shorter periods, the business usually does not change that much from one week to the next.
What changes fast is what investors are willing to pay for those fundamentals.
That is the multiple.
A company can earn the same amount of money, grow at the same rate, and have the same long-term story, but the stock can still move a lot if investors decide they want to pay 30x earnings instead of 40x earnings. That is why stocks can fall even when the business is doing fine.
And the multiple is usually driven by sentiment.
When sentiment is strong, investors become more willing to pay up. They look further into the future. They give companies credit for growth that has not fully happened yet. They forgive small mistakes.
That is how multiples expand.
But when sentiment turns, the whole process works in reverse.
This is especially true for growth stocks, AI stocks, crypto, and other long-duration assets. These assets are priced heavily on future growth. So when sentiment weakens or rates rise, investors stop paying so much for that future.
The business can still be great. But the stock can still go down. That is the painful part of multiple compression. It does not need bad news. It only needs less excitement.
This is how it plays into the current market.
Markets never move in one direction forever. We haven’t seen a real correction in quite some time, and after such a long advance, a pause or pullback is both normal and healthy. Even if it doesn’t turn into a major correction, volatility is likely to stay elevated for a while.
There are no certainties in the markets. So, being dogmatic, whether bullish or bearish, is an expensive mistake.
The world is moving faster than ever and so are the markets.
So, it’s crucial to adjust to the market conditions. This means reading what’s actually happening, not what you want to happen.
This doesn’t mean going from 100% invested to 0% or even starting to short.
Instead, it’s about finding the right balance. Adjust your portfolio between aggressiveness and defensiveness, like a dimmer switch.
If you’re always fully aggressive, you’ll get crushed when the next sell off happens. If you’re always defensive, you’ll miss the big moves. Both extremes cost you money. The sweet spot is somewhere in the middle, and it keeps shifting.
One point I cannot stress enough is to be in sync with the market environment.
And right now, the environment has shifted toward caution.
The most effective way to navigate markets like these is to step back, take a few chips off the table, lock in some profits, trim lagging positions, and reduce risk exposure. So, that’s what I’ll be doing.
This isn’t about perfectly timing the market. That’s impossible anyway. It’s about managing risk.
De-risking the portfolio helps limit drawdowns, smooth out volatility, and be able to take advantage of new opportunities. Because momentum or high growth names can easily drop 20%, 30%, or even 40% when the market corrects by just 5% to 8%. This is especially when we haven’t had a serious correction in a while.
Of course this also depends on your personal investment strategy.
If you’re a long-term investor in quality stocks, there’s really not much to do. Pullbacks are part of the process. As long as your thesis has not changed and fundamentals are improving, pullbacks are a good time to slowly add to your winners.
If you are more active and focused on high growth names opportunities, this is a time to be selective. Think about reducing exposure to your riskiest and most vulnerable positions. Trim names that have run too far too fast. Raise some cash so you have flexibility later. You do not want to be forced to sell into weakness if the market continues lower.
The key is trying to keep your losses contained and avoid holding onto it waiting for it to get back to even.
If the setup stops working, cut the loss and move on. One of the biggest mistakes is turning a trade into a long-term investment just because the stock went down. If you bought because of momentum, a breakout, or a catalyst, then you should exit when that reason disappears.
Read More

Lin
Market Update: The Next Quantum Leap
Quantum computing is still early.
The technology is not broadly commercial yet. It is promising, but it is not solved. Error rates are still too high. Cooling is difficult. Control hardware is complex. Optical systems are hard to build. Packaging, interconnects, and manufacturing repeatability are still major bottlenecks.
So, it needs progress across the whole system and that is what the US government wants to address.
The Department of Commerce is providing about $2 billion in CHIPS Act incentives to 9 quantum companies, including IBM $IBM, GlobalFoundries $GFS, Rigetti $RGTI, D-Wave $QBTS, PsiQuantum, Quantinuum $QNT, Infleqtion $INFQ, Atom Computing, and Diraq. And in exchange, the government receives minority, non-controlling equity stakes in each company.
Quantum is now being treated as a strategic technology. That puts it in the same broad category as semiconductors, AI, defense, energy security, and rare earths.
That is a serious shift in perception and narrative.
Perception can change before fundamentals change. That can create powerful short-term moves driven by short-term changes in sentiment.
The next catalyst could be Quantinuum’s IPO on Thursday.
Quantinuum is one of the most important private quantum companies. It was created through the combination of Honeywell Quantum Solutions and Cambridge Quantum. It has quantum hardware, software, algorithms, and Honeywell as a major industrial backer.
It is targeting a valuation of up to about $14.3 billion.
If the IPO is successful, it could become a new reference point for the whole sector. Investors will compare it with public quantum names like Rigetti, D-Wave, IonQ, and Infleqtion. A strong listing could bring more attention, more capital, and more momentum into the group.
But this is still high risk.
Quantum is not a simple buy-and-hold investment.
Because there is not a lot of fundamentals to back that up right now.
The right way to think about quantum today is not as a proven long-term compounder. It is better to think of it as a high-risk, high-upside short-term trade with a new catalyst. But even then it can be a very interesting short-term opportunity, especially when the entire theme is setting up and I’ve highlighted a few of the pure-play companies below. But make sure to check out the entire basket here.
IonQ $IONQ

Infleqtion $INFQ

Rigetti $RGTI

D-wave $QBTS

Read More

Lin
Market Update: The Next Quantum Leap
Quantum computing is still early.
The technology is not broadly commercial yet. It is promising, but it is not solved. Error rates are still too high. Cooling is difficult. Control hardware is complex. Optical systems are hard to build. Packaging, interconnects, and manufacturing repeatability are still major bottlenecks.
So, it needs progress across the whole system and that is what the US government wants to address.
The Department of Commerce is providing about $2 billion in CHIPS Act incentives to 9 quantum companies, including IBM $IBM, GlobalFoundries $GFS, Rigetti $RGTI, D-Wave $QBTS, PsiQuantum, Quantinuum $QNT, Infleqtion $INFQ, Atom Computing, and Diraq. And in exchange, the government receives minority, non-controlling equity stakes in each company.
Quantum is now being treated as a strategic technology. That puts it in the same broad category as semiconductors, AI, defense, energy security, and rare earths.
That is a serious shift in perception and narrative.
Perception can change before fundamentals change. That can create powerful short-term moves driven by short-term changes in sentiment.
The next catalyst could be Quantinuum’s IPO on Thursday.
Quantinuum is one of the most important private quantum companies. It was created through the combination of Honeywell Quantum Solutions and Cambridge Quantum. It has quantum hardware, software, algorithms, and Honeywell as a major industrial backer.
It is targeting a valuation of up to about $14.3 billion.
If the IPO is successful, it could become a new reference point for the whole sector. Investors will compare it with public quantum names like Rigetti, D-Wave, IonQ, and Infleqtion. A strong listing could bring more attention, more capital, and more momentum into the group.
But this is still high risk.
Quantum is not a simple buy-and-hold investment.
Because there is not a lot of fundamentals to back that up right now.
The right way to think about quantum today is not as a proven long-term compounder. It is better to think of it as a high-risk, high-upside short-term trade with a new catalyst. But even then it can be a very interesting short-term opportunity, especially when the entire theme is setting up and I’ve highlighted a few of the pure-play companies below. But make sure to check out the entire basket here.
IonQ $IONQ

Infleqtion $INFQ

Rigetti $RGTI

D-wave $QBTS

Read More
Exposure Level
Guidance:
Hold
0%
100%
Trend Indicator
Long-Term:
Up
Intermediate-Term:
Up
Short-Term:
Down
Risk Indicators
Volatility:
High
Sentiment:
Neutral
Momentum:
Neutral
Leading Sectors
View All
Energy
Memory
Photonics
Rare Earths
Semiconductors
AI Infrastructure
Market Snapshot
The market is in a full melt-up. Periods like these last longer than most people think. It's important to not bet against the trend, but instead the goal is to take advantage of it.
The Fullstack Investor Handbook
BASICS
5 Steps to Improve Your Investing Strategy
The Fullstack Investor Handbook
BASICS
5 Steps to Improve Your Investing Strategy